Of course it is…and it isn’t. Hmmm…

I recently had a friend email me and ask my opinion of what is going on in our local marketplace and whether I would feel comfortable buying right now.

Specifically they asked:

  • What are your thoughts on the sub-prime market going belly up?
  • Do you think Seattle is insulated enough (real estate wise) to not be affected?
  • Do you think the sub prime mess will trickle into our economy and cause a big recession?
  • Would you advise against buying right now especially with a 5 yr I/O mortgage?

First off, WOW, that’s a lot to cover. Let me see if I have this straight.

  1. Predict whether or not an entire segment of the lending industry goes away (and takes thousands of jobs with it).
  2. Predict the effect of an event, that may or may not happen, on the Seattle real estate market.
  3. Predict the effect of an event, that may or may not happen, on the Seattle economy.
  4. Advise someone on the viability of purchasing a home using an Interest Only loan product with no knowledge of their financial situation.

Here is my short answer:

  1. It won’t completely.
  2. If I were a betting person, it won’t effect it in a meaningful way.
  3. See Response #2
  4. Do I look like a mortgage broker?

Obviously I gave them some more color than that, but I will save that for another post…or four.

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